BTC Price Prediction: $125K or $90K? Key Factors to Watch in 2025

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BTC Price Prediction

BTC Technical Analysis: Short-Term Consolidation Likely Before Next Move

According to BTCC financial analyst Michael, BTC is currently trading at $104,321.51, slightly below its 20-day moving average of $105,786.67. The MACD indicator shows bearish momentum with a reading of -797.59, suggesting potential short-term weakness. However, the price remains within the Bollinger Bands (lower: $101,848.99, upper: $109,724.34), indicating a neutral range-bound market. 'We expect consolidation between $102k-$110k before the next decisive breakout,' Michael notes.

Mixed Market Sentiment as Institutional and Geopolitical Factors Weigh on BTC

BTCC's Michael highlights conflicting signals from recent news: 'While whale activity and institutional adoption (like Prenetics' $20M BTC treasury allocation) are bullish, the Mt. Gox crash anniversary and quantum computing threats create uncertainty.' The analyst emphasizes Robert Kiyosaki's $1M prediction as 'extremely optimistic but reflecting long-term confidence.' Key watchpoints include the Plasma sidechain launch and Ohio's tax incentives, which could drive adoption.

Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

Binance Whale Activity Surges as Stablecoins Dominate Latin America’s Crypto Market

Binance's whale ratio has skyrocketed 800% over the past two years, reaching 0.77 in 2024 and 0.76 in 2025. This surge reflects heightened activity from large Bitcoin holders, with inflows to the exchange dropping to cyclical lows—a sign of accumulation rather than distribution.

Latin America's crypto trading volume jumped 42% in 2025, driven predominantly by Brazil, which accounted for 77% of regional activity. The data suggests whales are cautiously building positions despite market volatility, potentially foreshadowing bullish momentum.

CryptoQuant's metrics reveal a stark contrast from mid-2023, when the whale ratio languished at 0.08. The current levels indicate strategic positioning by institutional players, though whether this translates to sustained upward pressure remains contingent on broader market conditions.

Robert Kiyosaki Predicts Bitcoin at $1M, Emphasizes Accumulation Over Price

Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, has doubled down on his bullish Bitcoin stance, projecting a $1 million price target within five years. The financial guru’s forecast arrives amid mounting macroeconomic uncertainty, yet his focus lies beyond mere price speculation.

"The rich don’t obsess over market value—they accumulate assets," Kiyosaki remarked, recalling his early BTC purchases at $6,000. His philosophy centers on controlling quantity rather than timing fluctuations. This perspective challenges retail traders’ fixation on short-term movements.

Kiyosaki reiterated warnings of a historic market crash, amplifying the debate around Bitcoin’s role as a hedge. His accumulation strategy mirrors institutional approaches, contrasting sharply with meme coin speculation dominating retail portfolios.

Ohio Passes Bitcoin Rights Bill with Tax Perk

Ohio has taken a significant step toward crypto adoption with the passage of House Bill 116, known as the 'Bitcoin Rights' bill. The legislation includes a $200 capital gains tax exemption for everyday crypto transactions, aiming to simplify the use of digital assets like Bitcoin in daily commerce.

State Representative Steve Demetriou championed the bill, which seeks to create a clear legal framework for digital assets. The tax exemption eliminates reporting requirements for small transactions, potentially accelerating grassroots crypto adoption.

Beyond tax reform, the bill establishes broader protections for digital asset users, positioning Ohio as a potential leader in crypto-friendly regulation. The legislation now moves to the state Senate for consideration.

Top 3 Projects Gain Traction Amid Political and Corporate Crypto Adoption Wave

A new wave of institutional interest is reshaping the cryptocurrency landscape, with three projects emerging as frontrunners in political and corporate adoption. Market attention is shifting toward these contenders as indicators of digital asset integration into mainstream finance.

Bitcoin's price action reflects cautious optimism, with a 4.33% weekly decline offset by a 7.92% half-year gain. The asset currently trades between $94,832 and $113,326.80, showing resilience despite short-term selling pressure. Technical indicators suggest equilibrium—the RSI at 49.84 signals balanced momentum between bulls and bears, while the Awesome Oscillator's -681.90 reading confirms absent strong directional bias.

Key support rests at $84,880, with $121,869.42 acting as immediate resistance. The absence of decisive momentum leaves traders awaiting a breakout confirmation. This consolidation phase follows months of gradual recovery, underscoring Bitcoin's enduring appeal amid fluctuating sentiment.

Ledger Offers Bitcoin Bonuses with Hardware Wallet Purchases

Ledger is incentivizing hardware wallet adoption through a limited-time Bitcoin bonus program. Customers purchasing devices between June 17-24 can receive up to $90 in BTC when bundling with Recover subscription service. The promotion scales with product tier: Nano S Plus ($30), Nano X ($50), Stax ($80), with an additional $10 boost for Recover subscribers.

The premium Stax model features touchscreen navigation, wireless charging, and Bluetooth/USB-C connectivity. All Ledger wallets support 15,000+ cryptocurrencies across mobile and desktop platforms. This move comes as institutional and retail investors increasingly prioritize secure storage solutions amid growing crypto market activity.

Bitcoin Price: $125K or $90K? Here’s What To Expect

Bitcoin's price action remains range-bound as bulls and bears clash for control, with geopolitical tensions like the Israel-Iran conflict adding to the volatility. Analysts project a potential surge to $125,000 amid bullish sentiment or a drop to $90,000 if bearish forces dominate.

The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rates and elevated inflation expectations continue to weigh on markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs have absorbed over $24 billion in demand since mid-April, yet price momentum remains stagnant. Wednesday alone saw $388 million in inflows, highlighting institutional interest despite muted price action.

QCP Capital notes cautious positioning as front-end implied volatilities dip, erasing recent gains. The imbalance between positive ETF flows and stagnant prices underscores the market's unreliable nature, with 10x Research pointing to selective bias in highlighting bullish factors while ignoring bearish signals.

Bitcoin's June Breakout Hinges on Geopolitical Stability and Market Dynamics

Bitcoin's price action remains range-bound near all-time highs, with traders anticipating a continuation of the bullish trend. Veteran analyst Kaleo notes a striking dissonance: despite $2.408 billion flowing into BTC ETFs between June 9-18, prices retreated from $110,000 to $104,000—a divergence suggesting either hidden sell pressure or accumulation beneath the surface.

The cryptocurrency market weathered the FOMC volatility cycle with remarkable resilience. Weekly charts show BTC testing but failing to breach its 2024 peak, though it maintains position above all key moving averages. A weekly Fair Value Gap and subdued RSI readings compared to last year's frenzy suggest room for upward momentum.

All eyes now turn to the S&P 500's impending breakout attempt. Historical parallels with the COVID-era recovery raise questions about renewed correlation between BTC and traditional markets. The Iranian geopolitical situation emerges as an unexpected variable that could catalyze Bitcoin's next major move.

Nasdaq-Listed Healthcare Firm Prenetics Allocates $20 Million to Bitcoin Treasury

Prenetics Global Limited, a Nasdaq-listed health sciences company, has made a bold move into digital assets by purchasing $20 million worth of Bitcoin for its corporate treasury. The firm acquired 187.42 BTC at an average price of $106,712 through Kraken's custody platform, signaling the start of a comprehensive Bitcoin strategy approved by its board.

The healthcare company plans to integrate Bitcoin into its consumer health platforms and operations, with CEO Danny Yeung framing the investment as part of a "new era" where genomics, personalized medicine, and digital assets converge. Prenetics hinted at further expansion of its Bitcoin holdings, joining a growing list of corporations adopting cryptocurrency treasury strategies.

Notably, the company has enlisted a Trump-linked crypto advisor to guide its digital asset initiatives. This move comes as institutional adoption of Bitcoin continues to accelerate across diverse industries, including the traditionally conservative healthcare sector.

Bitcoin's Historic Crash to Below $0.01 on Mt. Gox

Bitcoin's resilience today contrasts sharply with its volatile past. On this day 14 years ago, the cryptocurrency plummeted to nearly zero in a localized crash on Mt. Gox, then the dominant exchange for BTC trading. The incident, though minor in scale with just 2,000 BTC lost, underscored the fragility of early crypto markets.

Mt. Gox was Bitcoin's sole price discovery venue in 2011, handling virtually all trading volume. The crash followed a peak above $26 earlier that June—a high that would stand for nearly two years. Observers watched in real time as prices collapsed without a single uptick, a stark reminder of crypto's speculative infancy.

Today's institutional adoption has rendered such extreme scenarios improbable. Bitcoin now plays a gold-like role in digital finance, with its zero-risk scenario dismissed even by skeptics. The Mt. Gox episode remains a cautionary tale about centralized points of failure in decentralized ecosystems.

Startup Raises $6M to Shield Bitcoin from Quantum Computing Threats

Project Eleven has secured $6 million in seed funding to address quantum computing's potential to compromise Bitcoin's cryptographic security. The round was co-led by Variant and Quantonation, with participation from Castle Island Ventures, Nebular, and Formation.

Quantum computing remains theoretical but poses an existential threat to current blockchain encryption methods. "Every wallet, every account holder, every smart contract key must upgrade to quantum-safe cryptography," the startup warned. The funding will accelerate development of post-quantum cryptographic solutions for digital assets.

Bitcoin Sidechain Plasma Targets Late Summer Mainnet Launch After Successful ICO

Plasma, a stablecoin-optimized Bitcoin sidechain, is preparing for its mainnet launch by late summer, according to CEO Paul Faecks. The EVM-compatible blockchain aims to specialize in stablecoin transactions, positioning itself as the premier solution for moving stablecoins efficiently.

The project will initiate a public pre-sale at least 40 days before mainnet activation, with U.S. participants facing a 12-month token lock-up to comply with regulatory requirements. If summer ends on September 22, the XPL pre-sale would commence by August 13 at the latest.

Plasma's launch comes amid growing stablecoin momentum, fueled by Circle's recent IPO, U.S. legislative developments, and increasing corporate interest in stablecoin issuance. The sidechain promises specialized optimizations for stablecoin transactions while maintaining compatibility with Ethereum's virtual machine.

Is BTC a good investment?

Based on current technicals and news sentiment, BTCC's Michael provides this analysis:

'BTC remains a high-risk, high-reward asset,' says Michael. 'Dollar-cost averaging and a 3-5 year horizon are advised given volatility.'

• Technical Outlook: Neutral-bearish short-term with $101k support critical
• Market Sentiment: Divided between institutional adoption and legacy risks
• Long-Term Thesis: Strong fundamentals with regulatory tailwinds (e.g., Ohio bill)